'Inflation will be below seven percent after Sep 2012' | SupportBiz

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'Inflation will be below seven percent after Sep 2012'

Inflation would continue at the 7.5 percent level till September this year, after which it is likely to go below seven percent, Kaushik Basu, Chief Economic Advisor to the Union Finance Ministry, said.

"My expectation on inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) is that it would continue to remain at 7.5 percent and should go down by September," Basu said while taking part in a workshop on 'The Indian Economy and the Economy Survey', organised by Southern India Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SICCI) in Chennai.

The inflation is expected to soften by mid-October, he said.

Citing the food inflation that went up to 20 percent in February 2010, Basu said that it is currently at around 10 percent, but still high.

Pointing out that there is no magic solution for the problem, as the prices are determined by millions of people across the country, he said that the government would address the issue with its fiscal policies.

On the issue of fiscal deficit, Basu said that the nation missed its target owing to increase in oil prices and decline in corporate tax income.

He said that the government expects the fiscal deficit to be around 5.1 percent for the current year.

On improving exports, Basu said that creating a credit line based on the Indian rupee could create demand for Indian currency.

Basu asked the industry to take advantage of the rupee depreciation for exporting more rather than curbing imports.

On the rating revisions by credit rating agencies like Standard and Poor's (S&P) and Fitch Ratings, he said that they do make occasional mistakes like the downgrades for India, but what they say affects investor sentiments.

About foreign direct investment (FDI) in retail, he said that the biggest beneficiaries would be the farmers, as multinational companies with global supply chains would source from here, which would help the domestic small-scale units.